Eintrag weiter verarbeiten
Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games
Gespeichert in:
| Zeitschriftentitel: | Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
|---|---|
| Personen und Körperschaften: | |
| In: | Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 12, 2016, 2, S. 87-98 |
| Format: | E-Article |
| Sprache: | Englisch |
| veröffentlicht: |
Walter de Gruyter GmbH
|
| Schlagwörter: |
| author_facet |
Buttrey, Samuel E. Buttrey, Samuel E. |
|---|---|
| author |
Buttrey, Samuel E. |
| spellingShingle |
Buttrey, Samuel E. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games Decision Sciences (miscellaneous) Social Sciences (miscellaneous) |
| author_sort |
buttrey, samuel e. |
| spelling |
Buttrey, Samuel E. 1559-0410 2194-6388 Walter de Gruyter GmbH Decision Sciences (miscellaneous) Social Sciences (miscellaneous) http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2015-0003 <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>This article describes a method for predicting the outcome of National Hockey League (NHL) games. We combine a model for goal scoring and yielding, and one for penalty commission, in a Markov-type computation and a simulation model that produce predicted probabilities of victory for each team. Where these differ substantially from the market probabilities, we make “bets” according to a simple strategy. Our return on investment is both positive and statistically significant.</jats:p> Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
| doi_str_mv |
10.1515/jqas-2015-0003 |
| facet_avail |
Online |
| finc_class_facet |
Mathematik Technik Allgemeines |
| format |
ElectronicArticle |
| fullrecord |
blob:ai-49-aHR0cDovL2R4LmRvaS5vcmcvMTAuMTUxNS9qcWFzLTIwMTUtMDAwMw |
| id |
ai-49-aHR0cDovL2R4LmRvaS5vcmcvMTAuMTUxNS9qcWFzLTIwMTUtMDAwMw |
| institution |
DE-105 DE-14 DE-Ch1 DE-L229 DE-D275 DE-Bn3 DE-Brt1 DE-D161 DE-Gla1 DE-Zi4 DE-15 DE-Pl11 DE-Rs1 |
| imprint |
Walter de Gruyter GmbH, 2016 |
| imprint_str_mv |
Walter de Gruyter GmbH, 2016 |
| issn |
1559-0410 2194-6388 |
| issn_str_mv |
1559-0410 2194-6388 |
| language |
English |
| mega_collection |
Walter de Gruyter GmbH (CrossRef) |
| match_str |
buttrey2016beatingthemarketbettingonnhlhockeygames |
| publishDateSort |
2016 |
| publisher |
Walter de Gruyter GmbH |
| recordtype |
ai |
| record_format |
ai |
| series |
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
| source_id |
49 |
| title |
Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_unstemmed |
Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_full |
Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_fullStr |
Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_short |
Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_sort |
beating the market betting on nhl hockey games |
| topic |
Decision Sciences (miscellaneous) Social Sciences (miscellaneous) |
| url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2015-0003 |
| publishDate |
2016 |
| physical |
87-98 |
| description |
<jats:title>Abstract</jats:title>
<jats:p>This article describes a method for predicting the outcome of National Hockey League (NHL) games. We combine a model for goal scoring and yielding, and one for penalty commission, in a Markov-type computation and a simulation model that produce predicted probabilities of victory for each team. Where these differ substantially from the market probabilities, we make “bets” according to a simple strategy. Our return on investment is both positive and statistically significant.</jats:p> |
| container_issue |
2 |
| container_start_page |
87 |
| container_title |
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
| container_volume |
12 |
| format_de105 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_de14 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_de15 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_de520 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_de540 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_dech1 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_ded117 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_degla1 |
E-Article |
| format_del152 |
Buch |
| format_del189 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_dezi4 |
Article |
| format_dezwi2 |
Article, E-Article |
| format_finc |
Article, E-Article |
| format_nrw |
Article, E-Article |
| _version_ |
1792340285851697157 |
| geogr_code |
not assigned |
| last_indexed |
2024-03-01T16:01:35.126Z |
| geogr_code_person |
not assigned |
| openURL |
url_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fvufind.svn.sourceforge.net%3Agenerator&rft.title=Beating+the+market+betting+on+NHL+hockey+games&rft.date=2016-06-01&genre=article&issn=2194-6388&volume=12&issue=2&spage=87&epage=98&pages=87-98&jtitle=Journal+of+Quantitative+Analysis+in+Sports&atitle=Beating+the+market+betting+on+NHL+hockey+games&aulast=Buttrey&aufirst=Samuel+E.&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1515%2Fjqas-2015-0003&rft.language%5B0%5D=eng |
| SOLR | |
| _version_ | 1792340285851697157 |
| author | Buttrey, Samuel E. |
| author_facet | Buttrey, Samuel E., Buttrey, Samuel E. |
| author_sort | buttrey, samuel e. |
| container_issue | 2 |
| container_start_page | 87 |
| container_title | Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
| container_volume | 12 |
| description | <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>This article describes a method for predicting the outcome of National Hockey League (NHL) games. We combine a model for goal scoring and yielding, and one for penalty commission, in a Markov-type computation and a simulation model that produce predicted probabilities of victory for each team. Where these differ substantially from the market probabilities, we make “bets” according to a simple strategy. Our return on investment is both positive and statistically significant.</jats:p> |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1515/jqas-2015-0003 |
| facet_avail | Online |
| finc_class_facet | Mathematik, Technik, Allgemeines |
| format | ElectronicArticle |
| format_de105 | Article, E-Article |
| format_de14 | Article, E-Article |
| format_de15 | Article, E-Article |
| format_de520 | Article, E-Article |
| format_de540 | Article, E-Article |
| format_dech1 | Article, E-Article |
| format_ded117 | Article, E-Article |
| format_degla1 | E-Article |
| format_del152 | Buch |
| format_del189 | Article, E-Article |
| format_dezi4 | Article |
| format_dezwi2 | Article, E-Article |
| format_finc | Article, E-Article |
| format_nrw | Article, E-Article |
| geogr_code | not assigned |
| geogr_code_person | not assigned |
| id | ai-49-aHR0cDovL2R4LmRvaS5vcmcvMTAuMTUxNS9qcWFzLTIwMTUtMDAwMw |
| imprint | Walter de Gruyter GmbH, 2016 |
| imprint_str_mv | Walter de Gruyter GmbH, 2016 |
| institution | DE-105, DE-14, DE-Ch1, DE-L229, DE-D275, DE-Bn3, DE-Brt1, DE-D161, DE-Gla1, DE-Zi4, DE-15, DE-Pl11, DE-Rs1 |
| issn | 1559-0410, 2194-6388 |
| issn_str_mv | 1559-0410, 2194-6388 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-01T16:01:35.126Z |
| match_str | buttrey2016beatingthemarketbettingonnhlhockeygames |
| mega_collection | Walter de Gruyter GmbH (CrossRef) |
| physical | 87-98 |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publishDateSort | 2016 |
| publisher | Walter de Gruyter GmbH |
| record_format | ai |
| recordtype | ai |
| series | Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
| source_id | 49 |
| spelling | Buttrey, Samuel E. 1559-0410 2194-6388 Walter de Gruyter GmbH Decision Sciences (miscellaneous) Social Sciences (miscellaneous) http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2015-0003 <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p>This article describes a method for predicting the outcome of National Hockey League (NHL) games. We combine a model for goal scoring and yielding, and one for penalty commission, in a Markov-type computation and a simulation model that produce predicted probabilities of victory for each team. Where these differ substantially from the market probabilities, we make “bets” according to a simple strategy. Our return on investment is both positive and statistically significant.</jats:p> Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports |
| spellingShingle | Buttrey, Samuel E., Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games, Decision Sciences (miscellaneous), Social Sciences (miscellaneous) |
| title | Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_full | Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_fullStr | Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_full_unstemmed | Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_short | Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| title_sort | beating the market betting on nhl hockey games |
| title_unstemmed | Beating the market betting on NHL hockey games |
| topic | Decision Sciences (miscellaneous), Social Sciences (miscellaneous) |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2015-0003 |