author_facet Sonti, Rajiv
Conroy, Megan E.
Welt, Elena M.
Hu, Yi
Luta, George
Jamieson, Daniel B.
Sonti, Rajiv
Conroy, Megan E.
Welt, Elena M.
Hu, Yi
Luta, George
Jamieson, Daniel B.
author Sonti, Rajiv
Conroy, Megan E.
Welt, Elena M.
Hu, Yi
Luta, George
Jamieson, Daniel B.
spellingShingle Sonti, Rajiv
Conroy, Megan E.
Welt, Elena M.
Hu, Yi
Luta, George
Jamieson, Daniel B.
Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease
Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
Pharmacology (medical)
Infectious Diseases
author_sort sonti, rajiv
spelling Sonti, Rajiv Conroy, Megan E. Welt, Elena M. Hu, Yi Luta, George Jamieson, Daniel B. 2049-9361 2049-937X SAGE Publications Pharmacology (medical) Infectious Diseases http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2049936117715403 <jats:sec><jats:title>Purpose:</jats:title><jats:p>To create a model predictive of an individual’s risk of developing a de novo multidrug-resistant (MDR) infection while in the intensive care unit (ICU).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods:</jats:title><jats:p>This is a case-control study in which 189 ICU patients diagnosed with their first infection with an MDR organism were compared on the basis of demographic, past medical and clinical variables to randomly selected ICU patients without such an infection, era-matched in a 2:1 ratio. A prediction tool was derived using multivariate logistic regression.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results:</jats:title><jats:p>Five features remained predictive of developing an infection with a drug-resistant pathogen: hospitalization within a year [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.14], chronic hemodialysis (3.86), underlying oxygen-dependent pulmonary disease (1.86), endotracheal intubation within 24 h (2.46) and reason for ICU admission (respiratory failure 2.89, non-respiratory failure, non-shock presentation 1.85). Using a scoring system (0–7 points) based on the adjusted OR, risk categories were derived (low: 0–2 points, intermediate: 3–4 points and high risk: 5–7 points). The negative predictive value at a score cutoff of 2 is excellent (88.9%).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions:</jats:title><jats:p>A clinical prediction rule comprised of five easily measured ICU variables reasonably discriminates between patients who will develop their first MDR infection versus those who will not.</jats:p></jats:sec> Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease
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title Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_unstemmed Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_full Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_fullStr Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_full_unstemmed Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_short Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_sort modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an mdr-naive critically ill population
topic Pharmacology (medical)
Infectious Diseases
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2049936117715403
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description <jats:sec><jats:title>Purpose:</jats:title><jats:p>To create a model predictive of an individual’s risk of developing a de novo multidrug-resistant (MDR) infection while in the intensive care unit (ICU).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods:</jats:title><jats:p>This is a case-control study in which 189 ICU patients diagnosed with their first infection with an MDR organism were compared on the basis of demographic, past medical and clinical variables to randomly selected ICU patients without such an infection, era-matched in a 2:1 ratio. A prediction tool was derived using multivariate logistic regression.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results:</jats:title><jats:p>Five features remained predictive of developing an infection with a drug-resistant pathogen: hospitalization within a year [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.14], chronic hemodialysis (3.86), underlying oxygen-dependent pulmonary disease (1.86), endotracheal intubation within 24 h (2.46) and reason for ICU admission (respiratory failure 2.89, non-respiratory failure, non-shock presentation 1.85). Using a scoring system (0–7 points) based on the adjusted OR, risk categories were derived (low: 0–2 points, intermediate: 3–4 points and high risk: 5–7 points). The negative predictive value at a score cutoff of 2 is excellent (88.9%).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions:</jats:title><jats:p>A clinical prediction rule comprised of five easily measured ICU variables reasonably discriminates between patients who will develop their first MDR infection versus those who will not.</jats:p></jats:sec>
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author Sonti, Rajiv, Conroy, Megan E., Welt, Elena M., Hu, Yi, Luta, George, Jamieson, Daniel B.
author_facet Sonti, Rajiv, Conroy, Megan E., Welt, Elena M., Hu, Yi, Luta, George, Jamieson, Daniel B., Sonti, Rajiv, Conroy, Megan E., Welt, Elena M., Hu, Yi, Luta, George, Jamieson, Daniel B.
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description <jats:sec><jats:title>Purpose:</jats:title><jats:p>To create a model predictive of an individual’s risk of developing a de novo multidrug-resistant (MDR) infection while in the intensive care unit (ICU).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods:</jats:title><jats:p>This is a case-control study in which 189 ICU patients diagnosed with their first infection with an MDR organism were compared on the basis of demographic, past medical and clinical variables to randomly selected ICU patients without such an infection, era-matched in a 2:1 ratio. A prediction tool was derived using multivariate logistic regression.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results:</jats:title><jats:p>Five features remained predictive of developing an infection with a drug-resistant pathogen: hospitalization within a year [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.14], chronic hemodialysis (3.86), underlying oxygen-dependent pulmonary disease (1.86), endotracheal intubation within 24 h (2.46) and reason for ICU admission (respiratory failure 2.89, non-respiratory failure, non-shock presentation 1.85). Using a scoring system (0–7 points) based on the adjusted OR, risk categories were derived (low: 0–2 points, intermediate: 3–4 points and high risk: 5–7 points). The negative predictive value at a score cutoff of 2 is excellent (88.9%).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions:</jats:title><jats:p>A clinical prediction rule comprised of five easily measured ICU variables reasonably discriminates between patients who will develop their first MDR infection versus those who will not.</jats:p></jats:sec>
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spelling Sonti, Rajiv Conroy, Megan E. Welt, Elena M. Hu, Yi Luta, George Jamieson, Daniel B. 2049-9361 2049-937X SAGE Publications Pharmacology (medical) Infectious Diseases http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2049936117715403 <jats:sec><jats:title>Purpose:</jats:title><jats:p>To create a model predictive of an individual’s risk of developing a de novo multidrug-resistant (MDR) infection while in the intensive care unit (ICU).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Methods:</jats:title><jats:p>This is a case-control study in which 189 ICU patients diagnosed with their first infection with an MDR organism were compared on the basis of demographic, past medical and clinical variables to randomly selected ICU patients without such an infection, era-matched in a 2:1 ratio. A prediction tool was derived using multivariate logistic regression.</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Results:</jats:title><jats:p>Five features remained predictive of developing an infection with a drug-resistant pathogen: hospitalization within a year [adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.14], chronic hemodialysis (3.86), underlying oxygen-dependent pulmonary disease (1.86), endotracheal intubation within 24 h (2.46) and reason for ICU admission (respiratory failure 2.89, non-respiratory failure, non-shock presentation 1.85). Using a scoring system (0–7 points) based on the adjusted OR, risk categories were derived (low: 0–2 points, intermediate: 3–4 points and high risk: 5–7 points). The negative predictive value at a score cutoff of 2 is excellent (88.9%).</jats:p></jats:sec><jats:sec><jats:title>Conclusions:</jats:title><jats:p>A clinical prediction rule comprised of five easily measured ICU variables reasonably discriminates between patients who will develop their first MDR infection versus those who will not.</jats:p></jats:sec> Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease
spellingShingle Sonti, Rajiv, Conroy, Megan E., Welt, Elena M., Hu, Yi, Luta, George, Jamieson, Daniel B., Therapeutic Advances in Infectious Disease, Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population, Pharmacology (medical), Infectious Diseases
title Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_full Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_fullStr Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_full_unstemmed Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_short Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
title_sort modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an mdr-naive critically ill population
title_unstemmed Modeling risk for developing drug resistant bacterial infections in an MDR-naive critically ill population
topic Pharmacology (medical), Infectious Diseases
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/2049936117715403